Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 668
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND PART OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST
OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL COLD
POCKET IS ALREADY SUPPORTING VERY UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THIS REGION
TODAY...WHICH WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS MODEST...SOME WEAK ORGANIZATION REMAINS POSSIBLE
WITH CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS EVOLVING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREATS WILL LIKEWISE INCREASE TODAY.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27015.
...EVANS
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 668
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND PART OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST
OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL COLD
POCKET IS ALREADY SUPPORTING VERY UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THIS REGION
TODAY...WHICH WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS MODEST...SOME WEAK ORGANIZATION REMAINS POSSIBLE
WITH CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS EVOLVING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREATS WILL LIKEWISE INCREASE TODAY.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27015.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 668 SEVERE TSTM NC VA CW 081705Z - 090100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30SSE EWN/NEW BERN NC/ - 20NNW RIC/RICHMOND VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /54ENE ILM - 17NNW RIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27015.
LAT...LON 34657808 37757873 37757616 34657562
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 668 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 668
VALID 082235Z - 090100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW GSB
TO 25 NNE EWN TO 10 NNW HSE.
WW 668 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 090100Z.
..GRAMS..07/08/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 668
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC031-049-061-103-133-137-090100-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTERET CRAVEN DUPLIN
JONES ONSLOW PAMLICO
$$
AMZ135-158-090100-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 668
VALID 082130Z - 082240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GSB
TO 15 NNW EWN TO 25 SE ORF.
..GRAMS..07/08/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 668
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-029-031-049-053-055-061-095-103-133-137-139-143-177-187-
082240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CAMDEN CARTERET
CRAVEN CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN HYDE JONES
ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-656-658-082240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 668
VALID 082040Z - 082140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW OAJ
TO 20 WNW EWN TO 45 ESE RZZ TO 35 NW ORF TO 25 NE RIC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1728
..GRAMS..07/08/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 668
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-073-091-095-103-117-133-
137-139-143-163-177-187-082140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
GATES HERTFORD HYDE
JONES MARTIN ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS
SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
VAC057-073-093-097-103-115-119-133-159-193-199-550-650-700-710-
735-740-800-810-082140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESSEX GLOUCESTER ISLE OF WIGHT
KING AND QUEEN LANCASTER MATHEWS
MIDDLESEX NORTHUMBERLAND RICHMOND
WESTMORELAND YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ630-631-632-633-656-658-
082140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 668
VALID 081930Z - 082040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE RDU
TO 10 SSW RZZ TO 30 NE AVC TO 35 SE CHO.
..GRAMS..07/08/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 668
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-065-073-079-083-091-095-
101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-177-187-191-195-
082040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GATES GREENE
HALIFAX HERTFORD HYDE
JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NASH NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS PITT SAMPSON
TYRRELL WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
VAC033-036-041-053-057-073-075-081-085-087-093-095-097-101-103-
109-115-119-127-133-145-149-159-175-181-183-193-199-550-570-595-
620-650-670-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-810-830-082040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD
DINWIDDIE ESSEX GLOUCESTER
GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE HANOVER
HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM LANCASTER
LOUISA MATHEWS MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND POWHATAN
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ630-631-632-633-656-658-
082040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 668
VALID 081835Z - 081940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..07/08/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 668
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-063-065-069-073-077-079-
083-091-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-145-147-163-
177-181-183-185-187-191-195-081940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GRANVILLE GREENE
HALIFAX HERTFORD HYDE
JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NASH NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
SAMPSON TYRRELL VANCE
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
VAC007-025-033-036-041-049-053-057-065-073-075-081-085-087-093-
095-097-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-133-135-145-147-149-159-
175-181-183-193-199-550-570-595-620-650-670-700-710-730-735-740-
760-800-810-830-081940-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA BRUNSWICK CAROLINE
CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND
DINWIDDIE ESSEX FLUVANNA
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE
RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX WESTMORELAND YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ630-631-632-633-656-658-
081940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.