SPC AC 230725
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0125 AM CST MON NOV 23 2009
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LEAD UPR WAVE THAT WILL BE EJECTING ACROSS THE MIDWEST EARLY
   WEDNESDAY WILL WEAKEN OVER THE GRTLKS REGION AS ANOTHER STRONG
   IMPULSE DIGS INTO THE MID-MS VLY/UPR MIDWEST BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
   MEANWHILE...SUB-TROPICAL BRANCH WILL CARRY A DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE
   GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD FL BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
   
   AT THE SFC...INITIAL CDFNT ASSOCD WITH THE WEAKENING GRTLKS
   DISTURBANCE WILL BECOME REINFORCED BY WEDNESDAY EVENING BY A
   STRONGER FRONT.  THIS NEW CP AIR MASS WILL REACH THE UPR OH/TN VLYS
   AND CNTRL GULF CSTL REGION BY 12Z THURSDAY.  MEANWHILE...AN OLD
   FRONT WILL WAVE BACK N AS A WRMFNT INTO CNTRL FL AS A WAVE MIGRATES
   EWD THROUGH THE CNTRL/ERN GULF BASIN.  THIS LOW WILL TEND TO
   REDEVELOP OFF THE ERN FL CST BY EARLY THURSDAY.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN FL...
   ONE OR MORE MCS/S WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING OVER THE CNTRL/ERN GULF OF
   MEXICO AT THE START OF THE PD...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A SUBTROPICAL
   JETLET.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/MOVE ENE ALONG THE
   FRONTAL ZONE INTO PENINSULAR FL DURING THE LATE AFTN/NIGHT.  MODELS
   INDICATE THAT LLVL MOISTURE...CHARACTERIZED BY 70S DEW POINTS...WILL
   ADVECT NWD INTO AT LEAST CNTRL FL DURING THE LATE AFTN.  LOW/MID-LVL
   LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODEST AT BEST...BUT GIVEN AN
   INCREASE IN MID/HIGH-LVL FLOW...DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT
   FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT AN ISOLD ORGANIZED STORM...ESPECIALLY IF THE
   GULF FRONTAL WAVE ENDS UP STRONGER THAN FCST.
   
   ..RACY.. 11/23/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z