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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0938
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN FL PANHANDLE...SRN AL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 326...
VALID 151728Z - 151900Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 326 CONTINUES.
THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THE ERN PART OF WW 328 WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. A FEW TORNADOES...ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS. THE
OVERALL THREAT SHOULD DECREASE SOME AS THE MCS MOVES EWD INTO A
WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. ATTM...UNCERTAINTY REMAINS CONCERNING
WHETHER A NEW WATCH WILL BE NECESSARY EAST OF WW 328.
SEVERAL ROTATING STORMS ARE LOCATED ON THE NOSE OF A 35 TO 45 KT
LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS SE AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE. WSR-88D VWPS
ACROSS ERN AL SHOW ABOUT 30 KT OF 0-1 KM SHEAR ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY
BACKED SFC WINDS WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MINI-SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
HOWEVER...THE LATEST RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS VERY WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR
OVER FAR SE AL...SW GA AND THE ERN FL PANHANDLE SUGGESTING STORMS
SHOULD GRADUALLY DROP IN INTENSITY AS THE MCS MOVES TOWARD THE FAR
ERN PART OF WW 326 LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
..BROYLES.. 05/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
29878829 30358840 30738840 30738888 30678932 30888932
30898911 31438913 31448893 31818893 31858845 32338839
32288796 32018809 31988763 31838765 31838691 31528688
31488616 31668610 31628544 31688543 31748517 31578504
31198506 30768488 30098511 29948501 29778505 29688519
29708497 29228499 29408560 29708571 30028626 30088655
30038700 29908795 29908825
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